[Depth] Review of the development of China's photovoltaic industry in the past ten years

Abstract China's "Renewable Energy Law" has been officially implemented since January 1, 2006, and it has been a full decade. In this decade, “photovoltaic” is gradually becoming a household name and deeply rooted in people's hearts. The photovoltaic industry has grown rapidly...
China's "Renewable Energy Law" has been officially implemented since January 1, 2006, and it has been a full decade. In the past ten years, “photovoltaic” has gradually become a household name and deeply rooted in people's hearts. The photovoltaic industry has rapidly grown into a towering tree in the world's industrial forest. China's photovoltaic industry has also ranked first in the world for many years. .
Ten years, in the long history of industrial development, it seems so insignificant, but it is in this decade that China's photovoltaic industry has made great progress and step by step to the peak of the world. At the same time, after ten years of unremitting efforts by all relevant parties, the social environment, market environment and supporting environment closely related to the development of China's photovoltaic industry have changed from scratch to small, and have undergone tremendous changes. One is beneficial to China's photovoltaic industry. The relatively healthy environment for the development of relatively healthy PV industry has been initially established and is gradually being improved. A strategic emerging industry in China that can lead global development is growing rapidly under the above-mentioned development environment.

Deep changes in the social environment
First of all, the far-reaching significance of photovoltaics is increasingly rooted in the hearts of the people. Ten years ago, the "Renewable Energy Law" was just implemented. Photovoltaic is still only a vocabulary conceptual vocabulary in the eyes of ordinary people. The social recognition is extremely low, and the popularity of photovoltaic technology is basically impossible to talk about.
Ten years later, with the advent of the new energy revolution, human society is transitioning to a new era of renewable energy. Countries are actively taking action to accelerate energy transformation. Renewable energy has become the focus of global energy industry competition. The replacement of fossil energy by non-fossil energy has become an international trend. With this tide, the people have a desire for clear water and blue sky. The people are deeply hated of air pollution, and the people are more and more aware of renewable energy and understanding of photovoltaics. From urban to rural areas, the technical knowledge and application knowledge of photovoltaics are gradually deepening into the hearts of the people. The popularity of photovoltaics is rapidly expanding and spreading, and photovoltaic applications are gradually moving towards families, thus forming a broad mass base for the development of the photovoltaic industry.
Second, leaders at all levels attach great importance to it. During the development of the decade, leaders at all levels have paid close attention to the photovoltaic industry. In the China-US Joint Statement on Climate Change, the United Nations Climate Change Conference and other international occasions, and the Chinese government's contribution to the United Nations to contribute to the national independent emission reduction commitments, the non-fossil energy accounts for the proportion of primary energy consumption in 2020 and 2030 respectively. To achieve 15%, 20% energy transformation goals. The photovoltaic industry has been highly valued by governments and leaders at all levels because it will play an important role in realizing the above commitments. Party and state leaders have repeatedly investigated the development of the photovoltaic industry and made important instructions from the central government. The leaders of the departments went to the leaders of various local governments. Many people said that the photovoltaic industry can talk about it, is very familiar, and pays close attention to it in specific work. This is still rare in the development of a specific industry.
Again, policy measures have been introduced. In the past ten years, China has successively issued a series of policies and measures to promote the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry, especially Guofa [2013] No. 24 Document "Several Opinions on Promoting the Healthy Development of China's Photovoltaic Industry" on July 15, 2013 After the issuance, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Energy Administration, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the State Administration of Taxation, the China Banking Regulatory Commission, the Ministry of Land and Resources, the State Forestry Administration and other institutions have intensified the policy documents supporting and regulating the development of the photovoltaic industry. The scope includes all relevant aspects of product development, market application, fiscal and taxation, price, subsidies, land management and other industrial developments, and quickly create a complementary and supportive policy environment conducive to industrial development.
At the same time, local governments have also actively supported the development of the photovoltaic industry and the market, and have introduced relevant policies and measures. According to incomplete statistics, as of October 2015, 18 provincial, 38 prefecture-level and 21 county-level local governments have issued PV industry support policies.
Finally, public opinion is widely concerned. Compared with the relative coldness of ten years ago, various current conferences and related activities related to the photovoltaic industry are everywhere, and there are meetings and related activities almost every day when the concentration is high. Various media and consulting organizations, including the mainstream media, have paid close attention to the degree of information explosion in the photovoltaic industry. During the “two sessions”, PV-related proposals and news have been reported frequently. Solar photovoltaic has become a popular search term for the network. The high frequency of occurrence is staggering, the photovoltaic industry is becoming more and more popular, and the public opinion environment for the development of the photovoltaic industry has been greatly improved.

Market environment creates a new pattern
The domestic PV market has grown rapidly, and its installed capacity has ranked first in the world.
In 2005, China's new PV installed capacity was only 5MW, which was only 0.36% of the world's new installed capacity of 1.4GW in that year. Among them, Germany, Japan and the United States installed 837MW, 292MW and 102MW respectively in 2005, and China only 0.6 in Germany. %. In 2005, China's cumulative PV installed capacity was 70MW, which was only 1.35% of the global cumulative PV installed capacity of 5.17GW.
In 2015, China's new PV installed capacity was 15GW, up 41.5% year-on-year, accounting for 28.3% of the world's new installed capacity of 53GW. For the third consecutive year, it ranked first in the world in terms of new installed PV capacity.
In 2015, China's cumulative PV installed capacity reached 43GW, accounting for 18.2% of the world's cumulative installed capacity of 236GW, ranking first in the world for the cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaics.
In 2005, more than 95% of China's PV module production was exported overseas; in 2015, China's PV module production self-digestibility has exceeded one-third, and the so-called “two-outside” Chinese PV cell products rely heavily on foreign markets. The situation has been greatly improved.
In addition, the changes in the international market structure have intensified, and the diversified development trend is obvious.
In the past ten years, China's PV products market has undergone major changes in the traditional international PV market. China's PV international market has extended from developed countries to developing countries. The diversified development of China's PV module export market has been significantly enhanced. The scope has spread throughout Asia, Europe, America and Africa, among which China, Japan, India, South Korea, Thailand, Philippines, Pakistan, Turkey, Southeast Asia, Latin America, Middle East and North America have experienced rapid growth; the focus of the global PV application market has been From the European market ten years ago to the markets of China, the United States and Japan, China, the United States, Japan and the United Kingdom have accounted for about 70% of the global market; emerging markets such as India, Latin America and the Middle East have bright spots. . The European market has fallen from more than 70% of China's export market ten years ago to less than 20% in 2015. The Asian market has grown rapidly and accounted for more than 50% in 2014.

Manufacturing and supporting environment have been comprehensively improved
First, the production links of major industrial chains go hand in hand.
In 2005, China's solar cell module production was only about 200MW, accounting for 11% of the world's 1.8GW production, only about 1/4 of Japan's current output. After Japan and Europe, the largest company Wuxi Suntech's production capacity has just entered the 100MW ranks; China's polysilicon production is about 80 tons, accounting for only 0.3% of the global solar cell's silicon consumption of 28,700 tons. More than 95% of the polysilicon needed by China's solar cell industry needs to be solved through imports. This is also the so-called "two heads out". Polysilicon is supplied.
In 2015, China's polysilicon production was 165,000 tons, accounting for 48.5% of the world's total output of 340,000 tons; wafer production was 48GW, accounting for 79.6% of the global total output of 60.3GW; cell output was 41GW, accounting for 62.6% of the global total output of 65.5GW. The output of battery components reached 45.8GW, accounting for 76.1% of the total global output of 60.2GW.
The output of the main production links of the above four manufacturing terminals ranks first in the world, and solar modules have ranked first in the world for nine consecutive years. More than half of the top 10 companies in each segment are located in China. Among them, at least 16 companies have a capacity of more than 500 MW and 12 more than 1 GW of solar modules. From 2005 to 2015, China produced 169 GW of solar cells. Today, the investment in process equipment per megawatt of crystalline silicon battery production line has dropped to a minimum of 600,000 yuan; the average construction cost of photovoltaic power generation has dropped from 20 yuan / watt to less than 8 yuan / watt; polysilicon self-sufficiency rate has exceeded 50%, serious The situation of relying on foreign imports has undergone major changes. From 2008 to 2013, the investment per kiloton of polysilicon production line dropped from 700 million yuan to 1 billion yuan to 250 million yuan to 400 million yuan. At present, some enterprises have already controlled 100 million yuan. Yuan or so.
Second, significant progress has been made in the supporting industry chain.
In terms of production line special equipment: In 2015, China's PV equipment industry's total revenue was about 8 billion yuan, and the number of photovoltaic equipment related enterprises reached more than 80, with more than 8,000 employees. At present, China's photovoltaic equipment companies from the production of silicon materials, silicon wafer processing, photovoltaic cell and module production, and the corresponding pure water preparation, environmental protection, purification engineering construction, to the photovoltaic industry chain related testing equipment, simulator Etc., already has a complete set of supply capabilities, some products such as diffusion furnace, tubular PECVD, single crystal furnace, polycrystalline ingot furnace, laminating machine, testing equipment have a different number of exports. At present, the investment in process equipment of a 100MW production line only needs about 60 million yuan, and 10 years ago, it cost about 160 million yuan to 200 million yuan.
In terms of special materials: At present, the supply of aluminum paste has been fully realized. There are more than 20 domestic companies engaged in the research and development and production of photovoltaic aluminum paste products. The situation of foreign-owned enterprises in the domestic back silver paste market has been broken. The market share of the two companies of Xinghe Guangda is more than 50%; the market share of traditional foreign backplane enterprises is declining, the domestic backplane suppliers are rising overall, and Suzhou Saiwu is the world's backplane shipment in 2014. The first place; China's photovoltaic EVA film has been localized, self-sufficiency rate has reached more than 95%, in 2015 China's EVA film production accounted for more than 80% of the world's total, only Hangzhou Foster's production reached 290 million square meters Rice, accounting for 40% of the global market; China has become the world's largest producer of ultra-white embossed glass, 93% of the world's crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules use photovoltaic glass produced in China; China has occupied 80% of the global border market Around the world, Aikang Metal has occupied more than 15% of the global market share for 9 consecutive years, ranking first in the global border industry; China has become the world's largest solar stent production base, producing in China. The holder occupies the global share of over 50%.
Third, the service sector has gradually established and improved.
In addition to China PV Industry Association, China Renewable Energy Society, China Recycling Economy Association Renewable Energy Committee, Quanlian New Energy Chamber of Commerce and other industry organizations, a number of enterprise alliances, chapters, intermediary organizations and places related to the photovoltaic field Sex industry organizations are constantly emerging; professional media, professional consulting organizations, and professional analysts related to the photovoltaic field are emerging one after another; the speed of relevant standards is being accelerated, and testing and certification institutions are gradually improving.
In short, through this decade, the overall environment of China's photovoltaic industry's rapid and healthy development has been initially established and is gradually improving, laying a good foundation for the future development of China's photovoltaic industry. We believe that the development prospects of China's PV industry are beautiful, and China's PV industry will go further and continue to write the glory of the past.

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