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[ Jiuzhi Plastics News] In the future, titanium dioxide will remain tightly balanced. The new demand for titanium dioxide in 2017 and 2018 will reach 320,000 tons and 300,000 tons, while the newly added capacity will be only 170,000 tons and 250,000 tons. Maintain a strong price around 18,000 yuan / ton (rutile).
The new demand mainly comes from the inertia improvement brought by real estate sales: the paint as the main body of titanium dioxide consumption is significantly affected by real estate sales, and its growth rate generally lags behind the growth rate of real estate sales by about one and a half years. Real estate sales have improved from the middle of 2015. Although the growth rate has been declining since the beginning of 2017, it is still at a relatively high level. According to this calculation, by the end of 2018, the inertia of real estate sales will continue to drive demand for titanium dioxide.
Significant incremental growth in exports: Benefiting from the strong demand from developing countries in Asia and the recovery of US and South Korean real estate, overseas demand for titanium dioxide has grown rapidly. In the first half of this year, China's export volume of titanium dioxide reached a record high of 396,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%. The high-speed growth is expected to continue. The increase in exports contributed nearly one-third of the increase in demand for titanium dioxide.
The growth rate of titanium dioxide production capacity is lower than the demand growth rate, which further tightens the balance between supply and demand. At present, the state has already restricted the new capacity of the sulfuric acid law in terms of policies, and due to environmental factors, the small and medium-sized production enterprises in production are also facing certain restrictions on production or even production. At the same time, due to the technical bottleneck in the large-scale chlorination furnace, the chlorination method is difficult to release in a short period of time.
Investment strategy: Optimistic about leading enterprises with chlorination technology reserves.
Industry upgrades, leading benefits. Due to environmental protection factors, the concentration of titanium dioxide industry and the upgrading of technology have become the trend of the times, which is good for leading enterprises, and recommends Longli, Zhongli Titanium and Jinpu Titanium.
Technological innovation, starting with the king. Due to the high technical threshold and long conversion cycle of chlorination, enterprises with relevant technical reserves will have significant first-mover advantages, with emphasis on the accumulation of chlorination for several years and industrial production. Long Yuli.