China's new car sales will reach 17 million units in the year, approaching the highest level in the US

The latest statistics show that in the first eight months of this year, China's domestic car sales reached nearly 12 million, an increase of more than 39%. China Association of Automobile Manufacturers expects that China's auto sales will reach 17 million this year. This means that the sales of new cars in China will reach the highest level in the history of the United States.

This unusual growth rate has drawn the attention of all sectors of society. At the same time, the economic and social problems brought about by the rapid growth of motor vehicles are becoming more and more prominent. In the face of the frenetic car market, people began to think about where the Chinese car society on the wheel will head, and whether it should be macro-control?

Industry cheers
Macroscopic analysis anomaly
Data show that in 2009, China's auto sales totaled 13.64 million units, an increase of 46.15% year-on-year, and it has become the world's largest new car market.

Since September this year, the growth rate of domestic auto market sales has once again increased, and the growth rate is close to 40% again, ranking the first in the world.

The rapid growth of China's auto market has revived the domestic auto industry, but it has caused concern. This concern is not only due to economic and social problems such as traffic congestion and air pollution brought about by the rapid growth of car ownership, but also from the rapid growth of China’s auto industry. The long-term development of sustainable development.

Xu Changming, director of the Information Resource Development Department of the National Information Center, said that the growth rate of automobiles should be 1.5 times the growth rate of GDP. If we calculate this, the growth rate of China's auto market will reach 12% to 13.5%. The current high growth rate shows an unusual development.

Energy, land, environment
Three major constraints are highlighted
The rapid growth of automobiles has enabled China to quickly enter the automobile society. This rapid growth has also brought about economic and social problems. Among them, energy shortage, traffic congestion and environmental pollution have become the three major constraints to the sustainable growth of the automobile industry.

According to statistics, in 2009, China's dependence on foreign oil was about 50%. In August 2010, this external dependence increased to 55%. Chen Bin, director of the Industry Coordination Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, recently introduced that the newly added oil refining capacity of about 100 million tons in the 11th Five-Year Plan is almost completely consumed by new cars.

Analysts pointed out that oil dependence on foreign countries is more than 50%. It is a warning line. As a developing energy consumer, in the absence of international oil pricing power, it is obviously unsafe to rely on foreign oil too high.

At the same time, the traffic pressure brought by the growth of motor vehicles has become a major problem that plagues urban life.

According to data from the Ministry of Environmental Protection, vehicle emissions have become the main source of atmospheric pollutant emissions in some cities, accounting for more than 45%, and this phenomenon is becoming more and more serious.

Industrial restructuring is difficult
Big gap in core technology
Today, almost all multinational auto companies regard China as their most important market. However, under the "quantity" of prosperity, the "quality" weakness of China's auto industry has not been eliminated, and the task of industrial restructuring is still arduous.

Fu Yuwu, executive vice president and secretary-general of the China Automotive Engineering Society, said that there is still a big gap between the core technology of traditional cars and new energy vehicles, compared with the international advanced level, such as in automatic transmissions and lightweight vehicles. The technical aspect is a blank. In terms of automotive electronics technology, our distance from the international advanced level is getting bigger and bigger.

Under this circumstance, the rapid expansion of domestic auto companies has been raised by some experts as “puffiness” or “virtual fire”, and its sustainability and rationality have been greatly questioned.

The crazy “growth” of the domestic auto market is actually a problem that the development model of the auto industry has been exposed by the competition in various provinces and regions. However, the industry is still using "too optimistic" forecasts to cover up the risk of overcapacity, making the automotive industry lack the environment and soil for the "survival of the fittest."

Experts believe that relevant departments should take the scientific development concept as a guide and focus on the overall situation of energy, land and environment, and make overall plans and considerations, and make scientific predictions and positioning for the development space and speed of the automobile industry in the next 10 years. Otherwise, the auto industry that does not “speed limit” will bring more and more negative effects to its own development.