In 2013, the fat market was flat in spring

In 2013, the fat market was flat in spring Since the beginning of spring, under the influence of production capacity, inventory, climate and farmers' mentality, the fertilizer market has provided enough confidence to guarantee supply, but the market conditions have been tepid. According to the statistics of the Department of Economic Affairs of the National Development and Reform Commission, the domestic market for nitrogen fertilizer and compound fertilizer has been stable recently, and the supply of phosphate fertilizers has been sufficient, and the sales of potash fertilizer has been light.

Statistical analysis from the Department of Economic Affairs of the National Development and Reform Commission shows that the supply and demand of domestic urea and prices were relatively stable in late March, and there was a slight downward adjustment in some areas. Considering that the urea demand in the domestic market will remain flat in the short term, the main trend will continue to remain stable and volatile. Taking into account the factors of the fertilizer season in the northeast and south, the demand for urea will gradually recover after mid-April, Prices may pick up, but they won't be much.

At the same time, the supply of phosphate fertilizers in the domestic market is relatively abundant recently and the overall price is stable. 64% of diammonium phosphate in Shaanxi and northeastern parts of the wholesale price of about 50 yuan / ton fell. By the end of March, the production plant's winter storage orders have basically been completed, and the grass-roots market has begun to start one after another. Manufacturers start working normally and the average operating rate is around 78%. At present, the spring plough preparation fertilizer is about to end, and a few manufacturers begin to overhaul. The monoammonium phosphate market as a whole was weak and the price was running low. Most manufacturers mainly executed pre-orders, and there were only a few deals. The operating rate of the manufacturers is generally not high, and the confidence of the upstream and downstream markets is insufficient. In terms of demand, there is a large amount of mono-ammonium in some areas, and the purchase intention is not strong, and the overall turnover is light. The industry's forecast for the supply and demand and price trend of the phosphate fertilizer market in the short term: In the short term, the overall price will be mainly stable, and the latter trend will depend on the development of the export situation.

As far as potash fertilizer is concerned, the supply and demand in the domestic market is generally stable, but the transaction is relatively light and the price is steadily declining. As the supply of the market continues to increase, coupled with the lack of demand for the downstream compound fertilizer market, domestic demand growth has been limited in the short term and prices have remained relatively stable.

The domestic compound fertilizer market has been relatively stable in the near future. First, the production and operation are basically normal, the operating rate of enterprises has risen, and many companies are in full-load production. Second, sales volume has increased rapidly. Many companies report that the current situation of taking goods is good. Some compound fertilizers with small yields are produced in Hunan and other places. In front of the manufacturers, sometimes even the phenomenon of lining up delivery, it is learned that the strong sales market can be sustainable until early April; Third, the fertilizers began to shift from winter wheat fertilizer to summer corn fertilizer production.

It is understood that in the past two years, the domestic urea, monoammonium, and diammonium production capacity has grown too fast and the market is filling up. After the arrival of spring, the drought in the northwest and southwest China, the spring temperature in the northeast region has picked up slowly, and the delay in market start-up has caused farmers and grassroots The enthusiasm of distributors to purchase fertilizers is not high. This year, the fertilizer market has experienced a steady and low-key growth.

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